Geographical Variations of the Minimum Mortality Temperature at a Global Scale

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dc.coverageDOI: 10.1097/EE9.0000000000000169
dc.creatorTobías, Aurelio
dc.creatorHashizume, Masahiro
dc.creatorHonda, Yasushi
dc.creatorSera, Francesco
dc.creatorNg, Chris Fook Sheng
dc.creatorKim, Yoonhee
dc.creatorRoye, Dominic
dc.creatorChung, Yeonseung
dc.creatorDang, Tran Ngoc
dc.creatorKim, Ho
dc.creatorLee, Whanhee
dc.creatorÍñiguez, Carmen
dc.creatorVicedo-Cabrera, Ana
dc.creatorAbrutzky, Rosana
dc.creatorGuo, Yuming
dc.creatorTong, Shilu
dc.creatorde Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline
dc.creatorSaldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento
dc.creatorLavigne, Eric
dc.creatorCorrea, Patricia Matus
dc.creatorOrtega, Nicolás Valdés
dc.creatorKan, Haidong
dc.creatorOsorio, Samuel
dc.creatorKyselý, Jan
dc.creatorUrban, Aleš
dc.creatorOrru, Hans
dc.creatorIndermitte, Ene
dc.creatorJaakkola, Jouni J.K.
dc.creatorRyti, Niilo R.I.
dc.creatorPascal, Mathilde
dc.creatorHuber, Veronika
dc.creatorSchneider, Alexandra
dc.creatorKatsouyanni, Klea
dc.creatorAnalitis, Antonis
dc.creatorEntezari, Alireza
dc.creatorMayvaneh, Fatemeh
dc.creatorGoodman, Patrick
dc.creatorZeka, Ariana
dc.creatorMichelozzi, Paola
dc.creatorde'Donato, Francesca
dc.creatorAlahmad, Barrak
dc.creatorDiaz, Magali Hurtado
dc.creatorde la Cruz Valencia, César
dc.creatorOvercenco, Ala
dc.creatorHouthuijs, Danny
dc.creatorAmeling, Caroline
dc.creatorRao, Shilpa
dc.creatorDi Ruscio, Francesco
dc.creatorCarrasco, Gabriel
dc.creatorSeposo, Xerxes
dc.creatorNunes, Baltazar
dc.creatorMadureira, Joana
dc.creatorHolobaca, Iulian Horia
dc.creatorScovronick, Noah
dc.creatorAcquaotta, Fiorella
dc.creatorForsberg, Bertil
dc.creatorÅström, Christofer
dc.creatorRagettli, Martina S.
dc.creatorGuo, Yue Liang Leon
dc.creatorChen, Bing Yu
dc.creatorLi, Shanshan
dc.creatorColistro, Valentina
dc.creatorZanobetti, Antonella
dc.creatorSchwartz, Joel
dc.creatorvan Dung, Do
dc.creatorArmstrong, Ben
dc.creatorGasparrini, Antonio
dc.date2021
dc.date.accessioned2025-11-18T19:51:03Z
dc.date.available2025-11-18T19:51:03Z
dc.description<p>Background: Minimum mortality temperature (MMT) is an important indicator to assess the temperature-mortality association, indicating long-term adaptation to local climate. Limited evidence about the geographical variability of the MMT is available at a global scale. Methods: We collected data from 658 communities in 43 countries under different climates. We estimated temperature-mortality associations to derive the MMT for each community using Poisson regression with distributed lag nonlinear models. We investigated the variation in MMT by climatic zone using a mixed-effects meta-analysis and explored the association with climatic and socioeconomic indicators. Results: The geographical distribution of MMTs varied considerably by country between 14.2 and 31.1 ºC decreasing by latitude. For climatic zones, the MMTs increased from alpine (13.0 ºC) to continental (19.3 ºC), temperate (21.7 ºC), arid (24.5 ºC), and tropical (26.5 ºC). The MMT percentiles (MMTPs) corresponding to the MMTs decreased from temperate (79.5th) to continental (75.4th), arid (68.0th), tropical (58.5th), and alpine (41.4th). The MMTs indreased by 0.8 ºC for a 1 ºC rise in a community's annual mean temperature, and by 1 ºC for a 1 ºC rise in its SD. While the MMTP decreased by 0.3 centile points for a 1 ºC rise in a community's annual mean temperature and by 1.3 for a 1 ºC rise in its SD. Conclusions: The geographical distribution of the MMTs and MMTPs is driven mainly by the mean annual temperature, which seems to be a valuable indicator of overall adaptation across populations. Our results suggest that populations have adapted to the average temperature, although there is still more room for adaptation.</p>eng
dc.identifierhttps://investigadores.uandes.cl/en/publications/5b26a071-fa21-4a40-92a4-f149499660a9
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.uandes.cl/handle/uandes/56942
dc.languageeng
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.sourcevol.5 (2021) date: 2021-10-01 nr.5 p.E169
dc.subjectAdaptation
dc.subjectClimate
dc.subjectDistributed lag nonlinear models
dc.subjectMinimum mortality temperature
dc.subjectMulti-city
dc.subjectMulti-country
dc.subjectTime-series
dc.subjectSDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
dc.subjectSDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities
dc.titleGeographical Variations of the Minimum Mortality Temperature at a Global Scaleeng
dc.typeArticleeng
dc.typeArtículospa
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